Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.020467 0.022027 0.023649 0.025464 0.027438 0.029522 0.031892
2025-12-21 0.017892 0.020139 0.022596 0.025489 0.028811 0.032513 0.036966
2025-12-28 0.016095 0.018721 0.021702 0.025351 0.029711 0.034777 0.041139
2026-01-04 0.014817 0.017697 0.021066 0.025320 0.030576 0.036895 0.045125
2026-01-11 0.013861 0.016933 0.020621 0.025405 0.031489 0.039027 0.049163
2026-01-18 0.013041 0.016251 0.020192 0.025428 0.032262 0.040959 0.052997
2026-01-25 0.012397 0.015729 0.019906 0.025578 0.033157 0.043046 0.057109
2026-02-01 0.011669 0.015044 0.019352 0.025319 0.033463 0.044332 0.060173
2026-02-08 0.010962 0.014339 0.018722 0.024902 0.033504 0.045226 0.062701
2026-02-15 0.010416 0.013812 0.018293 0.024718 0.033831 0.046498 0.065806
2026-02-22 0.009892 0.013286 0.017830 0.024450 0.034006 0.047543 0.068609
2026-03-01 0.009441 0.012835 0.017442 0.024258 0.034263 0.048695 0.071612
2026-03-08 0.008983 0.012367 0.017028 0.024034 0.034500 0.049888 0.074851
2026-03-15 0.008644 0.012051 0.016815 0.024091 0.035158 0.051750 0.079264
2026-03-22 0.008276 0.011676 0.016494 0.023966 0.035525 0.053175 0.083060
2026-03-29 0.007965 0.011366 0.016251 0.023938 0.036027 0.054823 0.087308
2026-04-05 0.007707 0.011121 0.016088 0.024018 0.036693 0.056753 0.092136
2026-04-12 0.007452 0.010867 0.015898 0.024040 0.037258 0.058541 0.096825
2026-04-19 0.007244 0.010674 0.015789 0.024180 0.038014 0.060671 0.102239
2026-04-26 0.006955 0.010344 0.015453 0.023937 0.038120 0.061710 0.105770
2026-05-03 0.006649 0.009974 0.015039 0.023546 0.037952 0.062264 0.108445
2026-05-10 0.006412 0.009703 0.014768 0.023374 0.038141 0.063435 0.112320
2026-05-17 0.006171 0.009416 0.014459 0.023123 0.038177 0.064332 0.115728